The set-up: This has been a competitive series, as Chicago earned the victory last night as a big underdog. With its ace on the mound, it has to be feeling confident it can earn the split of this four game series. But in a game which I see being decided late or even in extra frames, I'm going to play this one on the "run-line." The visitors hand the ball to Lucas Giolito, while the home side counters with Corbin Martin.

The pitchers: Giolito (5-1, 3.35 ERA) comes in on top form, going 3-0 with a minuscule 0.93 ERA over his previous three starts.

Martin (1-0, 3.86) gave up three runs off five hits over four innings in his second career start at Boston on Saturday.

The pick: Clearly the book is still out on Martin. Giolito has struggled against the Astros in the past, but he's clearly "coming into his own" now. This is a "different" Giolito and I expect him to keep his team in this one late.

Chicago White Sox +1.5

8* play