The set-up: The Red Sox are looking to make up ground vs. the red hot Yankees. Chris Sale got roughed up by the Yankees last month, but he's made big strides since then and I believe he's the correct call in this matchup. His counterpart JA Happ has been consistently inconsistent from Game 1 and I believe that trend continues here in this difficult matchup.

The pitchers: Sale (1-6, 4.19 ERA) is 1-1 with a 2.23 ERA over his last five starts. He has a 2.44 ERA since giving up four runs over five innings in the loss to New York last month.

Happ (4-3, 5.09) is 3-0 over his last four starts, despite a terrible 5.40 ERA. He's enjoyed success vs. the Red Sox in the past, but I think he's in over his head here.

The pick: Note that Sale is 6-5 with a 1.87 ERA in 18 career regular-season appearances vs. the Yankees as well. All things considered, I feel this line could in fact be a lot larger.

Boston Red Sox

10* play