The set-up: After playing 27 games in 27 days, the Pirates had a day off yesterday. I think Pittsburgh stumbles in its first game back in what I feel is an even bigger mismatch on the mound than what this line would suggest. The visitors go with Max Fried, while the home side counters with Steven Brault.

The pitchers: Fried (7-3, 3.19 ERA) has made 11 starts this year and he's thrown seven quality efforts in that span.

Brault (2-1, 5.87) is being forced into the starting rotation out of necessity. Over 19 career big league starts he's 3-4 with a 4.97 ERA.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Pirates are just 2-6 in their last eight home games following a day off. I like Fried to easily out duel his volatile counterpart. Lay it.

Atlanta Braves

10* play