The set-up: From a situational stand point, I think this one sets up great for the visitors. The Badgers enter off a big win over Michigan last week and I think an imminent letdown is inevitable for the home side here. Northwestern' QB Hunter Johnson doesn't have anything to lose here after starting the season with four INT's and just one TD. Keep your eyes on Northwestern WR Bennett Skowronek, who has caught a pass in 30 straight games. The Wildcats will have their hands full with Badgers' RB Johathan Taylor, who leads the conference in rushing.

The pick: However with the home side looking to control the pace and limit mistakes, I think that also plays into the Wildcats' hands today and the sizeable spread they've been afforded. Northwestern hasn't been very good on either side of the ball, but the defense still leads Illinois, Minnesota and Purdue. I look for the Badgers to go up early and then take the foot off the gas. Grab the points, expect a solid back door cover.

8* play on Northwestern.