The set-up: I simply don't think the Dolphins are as bad as this spread would suggest (despite being 0-3 and their earlier results.) I also don't think that the Chargers are nearly as good as what this spread would suggest. Especially on the road, a place where they've always had a difficult time. While I'm not calling for an outright victory, I do definitely feel that this spread is much too large. The Chargers come in off back-to-back losses of their own. Josh Rosen makes his second start as the starting QB for Miami and I think he'll benefit from last week's experience.

The pick: LA won't get RB Melvin Gordon back in the line-up until next week and while Austin Ekeler has been decent in a back-up role, I still think the visitors are stretched thin here. Also note that the Chargers are a poor 1-3 ATS in their last four as a favorite of ten points or more, while the Dolphins are 3-1 ATS in their last four after scoring 14 points or less in two straight games. For all the reasons listed above, play on the Fish.

8* SUPER DOG DESTROYER on the Miami Dolphins.