The set-up: Both teams enter off their first losses of the year. Green Bay has had some extra time off to prepare for this one though after playing on Thursday night Football. Green Bay had a shot at beating the Eagles, but QB Aaron Rodgers threw an INT on the three-yard line (lost 34-27.) You can't win them all though, but the good news for Packers fans is that the defense has so far been great, ranked seventh in the league in allowing only 17.2 PPG (last year the defense allowed 25 per contest.)

The pick: The Cowboys looked pretty ordinary in their 12-10 loss on the road in New Orleans vs. a Drew Brees-less Saints side. I'll argue that the Cowboys are 3-1 right now because of a weak schedule. Also note that the Cowboys took a major hit on the injury front by losing their two best offensive lineman in Zack Martin and Tyron Smith (both questionable this weekend.) Green Bay is 3-1 ATS in its last four after playing on a Thursday game, while Dallas is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after allowing 14 points or less in its previous game. I'm grabbing the points.

9* SITUATIONAL ATS SMOKE-JOB on the Green Bay Packers.