The set-up: This is a "must win" game for Colorado State if it plans to have any shot at a bowl berth at the end of the season. The Rams come to town off a poor 24-10 home loss to SDSU. New Mexico State enters having lost two straight, most recently a 32-21 setback to San Jose State.
The pick: The Rams allow 36.5 PPG, but the Lobos concede 39.6. Colorado State has a decent QB in Patrick O' Brien, while New Mexico's offense is a complete disaster. Lobos' RB Ahmari Davis can't get the job done by himself today and I believe the home side is going to fade down the stretch. Note that the Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last six following SU loss and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 following a double-digit loss at home. Meanwhile, the putrid Lobos are 0-5 ATS in their last five following an ATS loss. I'm laying the points and expecting a decisive victory for CSU.
8* play on Colorado State.