The set-up: I got down early on this one before it was confirmed that Matt Ryan wasn't going to play. Regardless, after losing five straight I think the Falcons and Matt Schaub find a way to get the job done here. Seattle allows 357 yards per game and Falcons' WR Julio Jones had 560 receiving yards and four TD's.

The pick: Russell Wilson and Tyler Lockett have been a deadly duo so far this year for the Hawks, but after Seattle's win at home over the Ravens last week and with a game at home vs. the Bucs before a road contest at division leading San Fran and its bye, I think this contest definitely sets up as a letdown spot for the visitors. Additionally note that Seattle is stil a poor 4-7 ATS in its last 11 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points, while ATL is a perfect 4-0 ATS in its last four after five or more consecutive losses. I think Schaub is in fact a "good" thing for this Falcons team, as I look for the veteran backup to play his heart out here. Grab the points.

8* play on the Falcons.