The set-up: The Jags won this contest 31-12 last year and I expect a similar sort of beatdown here as well. New York is just 1-5 and it enters off a 33-0 loss to the Patriots on Monday Night Football. The Jags on the other hand enter off a 27-17 win over the Bengals and I have no reason not to think that they can't keep that momentum rolling here vs. this similar pathetic competition. Last week New York posted six turnovers, including two fumbles and it was flagged eight times for 60 yards. The Jags have 21 sacks and four INT's already this year and I believe they're going do some serious damage to Sam Darnold and this Jets' offensive line.

The pick: Leonard Fournette had 131 yards rushing in last week's victory for the Jags and I think he'll be a difference maker at home this week as well. Overall the Jets have just seven sacks and five INT's on the year, so Jags' QB Gardner Minshew and Fournette will plenty of opportunities to make some dynamic plays this weekend. Additionally it's interesting to note that the Jags are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after posting 150 yards rushing in their previous game, while New York is just 1-5 ATS in its last six after allowing 30 points or more in its previous game. I expect a lop-sided rout from start to finish. Lay the points.

8* play on the Jacksonville Jaguars.