The set-up: West Virginia is 3-4 and running out of time to become eligible. An outright win over 7-0 Baylor isn't likely going to happen, but I do definitely feel that the conditions are correct for a tighter battle than what this spread would suggest. The Mountaineers have lost three straight, but they come in off a much needed bye week and I think the extra time off to prepare for this one will help them in keeping this one relatively close until the final moments.

The pick: The Mountaineers can score, but their defense has been terrible. The Bears are one of the highest scoring teams in the country, but with another "cream puff" with TCU up next, I think this does in fact set up as a bit of a "trap" for the home side as well. Finally note that WVU is 3-1 ATS in its last four after two or more straight losses vs. the spread, while Baylor is just 6-10 ATS in its last 16 at home and a poor 1-3 ATS in its last four as a favorite in the 10.5 to 21 points range. No outright, but closer than expected.

9* PLAY-BOOK on West Virginia.