The set-up: Both teams have done well to open the year. Washington is 13-2-1 and Philadelphia is 10-5-2. The Capitals have been scoring at a prodigious rate to open the year, averaging 4.02 GPG and they've been allowing 3.20. But the Flyers are 6-1-1 at home and they've been getting exceptional play from Brian Elliot and Carter Hart in the net.

The pick: On paper this one clearly appears as if this will once again be a high-scoring affair, but I believe the value has now swung the other way finally. Note that Washington has in fact seen the total go under in two of three vs. the division this year. Also note that the Flyers have seen the total go under in five of six this year when playing with two days rest. This number is a tad high.

10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE on the under Caps/Flyers.