The set-up: The 4-5 South Florida Bulls have their work cut out for them this week to upset the 8-1 Bearcats and keep their slim bowl hopes alive. The Bulls are well coached though and they have a significant home field advantage. Note as well that USF has given up only 18.3 PPG over its last three games.

The pick: THe Bearcats rely on their strong run game, which also plays into our hands here by grabbing the significant amount of points. Additionally note that the Bearcats are a poor 2-6 ATS in their last eight on the road, while USF is a perfect 3-0 ATS already this season after a SU loss. No outright, but much closer than expected. Grab the points.

8* play on USF.