The set-up: New England is 9-1, while the Cowboys are 6-4. This is a season-defining game for Dallas and I think it'll find a way to pull off the outright upset. New England's defense has been great, but the offense has been poor. Tom Brady looks as if he's definitely lost a step this year and facing this aggressive Cowboys' defense, I think he and his line will get exposed here. I'll also argue that the Patriots' opponents have been sub-par so far to open the season, so their defensive numbers are skewed in my opinion.

The pick: The Dallas defense is ranked seventh in the NFL and I look for it to be a difference maker today. I also like Dak Prescott to push the pace and to get the better of Tom Brady. In my opinion, the stage is set for a big upset.

8* play on the Cowboys on the MONEY LINE.