The set-up: I think this is a great spot for a play on the "under." Boston has had a few days off to absorb a 115-109 loss to Philadelphia at home. Now it faces a Dallas Mavericks team which just beat Milwaukee on the road with offensive star Luca Doncic. Now the team returns home and I believe a letdown is imminent here for the Mavs. Boston has lost two straight and I look for it to kick off this Western road swing by doubling down on the defensive end.

The pick: Note as well that Boston has seen the total go under in seven of nine non-conference games this year, while Dallas has seen the total dip below the posted number in all three games it's played in this year in trying to revenge a road loss vs an opponent. Considering all of the above factors, I definitely believe this number is too high.

10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the UNDER Celtics/Mavericks.