The set-up: UAB is 9-4 and App State is 12-1. The Mountaineers are big favorites in this one. In fact, a little too big in my estimation. App State has an explosive offense, but UAB allows only 20.8 PPG. And that's bad new for App State' QB Zac Thomas in my opinion. Thomas finished with a sharp 26:6 TD:INT, but I believe the extra time off will throw a predictable "monkey wrench" into his chemistry.

The pick: The Blazers use two QB's in Tyler Johnson II and Dylan Hopkins and they do indeed benefit from a defense which ranks 13th in the nation vs. the pass and 14th vs. the run. Also note that UAB is a perfect 5-0 ATS in its last five off a loss vs. a conference rival, including 2-0 ATS this season, while App State is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after covering the spread in four out of its last five games. No outright, but definitely closer than expected. Grab the points.

8* play on UAB.