The set-up: Which team's season has been more disappointing? The Falcons come into Week 17 at 6-9 and the Bucs are 7-8. Neither is going to the playoffs, after each entered the 2019/20 campaign with such lofty expectations. The Falcons were a mess right out of the gate though and they were never able to recover from that terrible start. The Bucs have shown flashes of brilliance at times this season, but overall the team has looked poor this year in all three phases. The difference though as we head into Week 17 is that the Falcons are playing their best football of the year right now, with three straight victories after last week's win over the Jaguars, while the Buccaneers "up and down" season continued with a poor loss to Houston. The Falcons are looking to end on a high note and keep their momentum rolling and I look for them to take advantage of this disinterested home side, which I believe will simply go through the motions this afternoon.

The pick: For what it's worth as well, note that the Falcons are 5-1 ATS in their last six off a home win of ten or more points and already 2-1 ATS this season in revenging a loss vs. an opponent (fell earlier at TB this season), while the Bucs are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 as a home favorite of seven points or less, including 0-3 ATS this year. I like ATL to close out strong.

1* FREE PLAY Atlanta Falcons.