The set-up: It's 8-4 USC vs. 9-3 Iowa. The Trojans are going to try and air this one out, while the Hawkeyes will try to slow it down and grind out a victory. USC averages 33.2 PPG and it allows 27.7. Iowa averages only 23.8 PPG, but it only allows 13.1. USC lost to heavy weights Notre Dame, Washington and Oregon this year and it's led by Kedon Slovis, who I think will be a difference maker today (28:9 TD:INT.) He benefits from throwing to one of the best WR's in the country in Michael Pittman Jr.

The pick: Iowa QB Nate Stanley has a 14:4 TD:INT. The Hawkeyes are also just 2-6 ATS in their last eight as a favorite, while USC is 3-1-1 ATS in its last five as an underdog. I think the long time off to prepare benefits the USC defense and I like Slovis to push the pace from start to finish. That said, grab the points.

8* play on USC.