The set-up: 10-2 Minnesota takes on 9-3 Auburn in the Outback Bowl and in my opinion, I think the Tigers have a clear upper-hand. Both teams looked pretty good overall this year. Minnesota lost 38-17 to Wisconsin in its finale. QB Tanner Morgan had a sharp 28:6 TD:INT this season, but I think he'll have his hands full here with this stingy Tigers' defense. Auburn comes in with a ton of momentum after holding on for an upset 47-45 win over Alabama in its finale. QB Bo Nix had a 15:6 TD:INT. The defense allows only 18.6 PPG.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Minnesota is a poor 3-5 ATS in its last eight as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range, while Auburn is a strong 6-2 ATS this season when playing the role of favorite. I think the Tigers' defense is the difference maker. Lay the points.

8* BLOWOUT on Auburn.