The set-up: The Vols went 7-5 and the Hoosiers went 8-4. Indiana' QB Payton Ramsey finished with 2,227 yards passing with 13 TD's in ten games. The Hoosiers averaged 444 yards per game on offense, including 308.7 per game through the air, which ranked 13th in the country. Indiana was also stout on the defensive side, allowing only 24.5 PPG, which ranks 49th. Vols' QB Jarrett Guarantano threw for 1,937 yards and a 16:6 TD:INT. A blow to Tennessee's offense today though is the loss of WR Jauan Jennings, who had 942 receiving yards and eight major scores, but who is suspended.

The pick: Additionally note that Tennessee is a disturbingly poor 3-10 ATS in its last 13 as a favorite (including just 1-3 ATS this season), while Indiana is 7-3 ATS in its last ten vs. teams with winning records. I like Ramsey to take advantage of the Vols' suspect secondary. Grab the points.

8* BLOWOUT on Indiana.