The set-up: Despite what happens between these teams on Modnay, I think that Alec Mills is getting little respect in this spot. Mills was 1-0 with a 2.75 ERA last year as a starter. He also posted a 42:11 K:BB over 36 innings (nine appearances.)

The pick: Tyler Mahle was 3-12 with a 5.14 ERA for the Reds last season and he's being pressed into service out of necessity. Mahle did go four innings last Friday in a scrimmage and he'd allow four runs, including a three run dinger. In this case I love the experience and proven track record that swingman Mills brings in this matchup and I'll gladly back him at this value.

10* SITUATIONAL UNDERDOG BEST BET on the Chicago Cubs.