The set-up: No need to overanalyze this pick, as I think Phillies' ace Aaron Nola is well worth the price of admission in this matchup. Nola (0-1, 3.97 ERA) has one terrible start so far and one great one. In his last start he allowed one run off three hits and no walks while striking out 12 over six innings in an unfortunate no-decision to the Yanks on Wednesday. Note that Nola was particularly good in this spot by going 6-2 with a 2.92 ERA at home last year.

The pick: The visitors counter with Sean Newcomb (0-0, 8.22) who allowed two runs off five hits over 4.2 innings in a fortunate no-decision to the Jays on Wednesday. In his previous outing Newcomb allowed six runs over four innings vs. the Mets. Considering the talent discrepancy on the mound, I feel that this line should/could in fact be much steeper.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Philadelphia Phillies.