The set-up: Both of these starters has been decent and each of these clubs has struggled somewhat with offensive consistency. Despite that though, I think this one sets up as a classic "slug-fest." Jon Lester gets the call for Chicago (1-0, 0.82 ERA) and he's allowed just one run over two starts. If Lester had one weakness last season though it was definitely his play on the road, where he was only 5-6 with a 4.90 ERA. Regression seems imminent for the over-acheiving veteran hurler.

The pick: The home side counters with Mike Clevinger (1-1, 4.91) who went 5-2 scoreless vs. the Reds on Wednesday. For the most part Clevinger has been as solid as Cleveland could possibly ask for, however not that the Indians have seen the total eclipse the posted number in nine of their last 12 interleague home games when the total is set at 8 or 8.5. Look for this strong trend to continue and for this one to sneak over the number as the game comes down the stretch.

This is a 10* TOTAL SLUG-FEST on the OVER Cubs/Indians.