The set-up: Portland has seen four of five go over the number, including in three straight. The Mavericks rested both Luca Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis in their game vs. the Jazz yesterday and while each may see some action today, the rest of the Mavs are clearly going to be "gassed" in the second game of the back to back scenario. While both teams have played to several OVERs, I think the overall situation finally points to a lower-scoring affair.

The pick: Situationally it sets up great for an "under," but also note that the Blazers have seen the total go under the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more consecutive "overs." This number is indeed just a little high.

This is a 10* TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST on the UNDER Blazers/Mavericks.