The set-up: We've seen some really high-scoring games in the bubble and it wouldn't be hard to write a convincing argument for this total to fly over. Both teams are loaded with offensive talent and each likes to get out and push the pace. So why is Game 1 going to go under then? Despite all three regular season games between the clubs eclipsing the posted number, I believe the circumstances that each team finds itself in coming into this contest will help in driving this total below the posted number.

The pick: I think the last thing LA wants to do though is to turn this into a "track meet." Yes big man Nurcis has been playing well for Portland, but LA has Dwight Howard, JaVale McGee and Anthony Davis ready to shut him down. Note that LA was third in defensive efficiency in the regular season and now that the playoffs are here, I look for the team to double down on that end and ride its strenght. Portland could be out of gas here as well after playing so hard over the first eight games to even qualify for the playoffs. When you add it all up, the under is definitely the correct call in my opinion.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Blazers/Lakers.