The set-up: The last two games of this series have blasted past the posted number, but I have more than enough reason to believe that Game 4 will finally be a bit slower-paced, which will ulimtately lead to this total staying well "under" once it's all said and done. The Mavs are down 2-1 and with an ankle injury to Luca Doncic last time out, I believe they're going to have to change up their game play "on the fly" here and try to body up and slow this one down.

The pick: Additionally note Dallas has seen the total go under the number in 14 of its last 21 after allowing 130 points or more in back-to-back outings. I'm banking on Game 4 being a very aggressive and slower-paced "under" once it's all said and done.

This is a 10* ULTIMATE O/U BEATDOWN on the UNDER Clippers/Mavs.