The set-up: While yesterday's game "pushed" with the 9 total, I believe that Monday afternoon's game sets up as a "slug-fest." The visitors hand the ball to the erratic Tanner Roark (2-1, 4.76 ERA) who gave up two runs off nine hits over five innings in a victory over the lowly Orioles on Wednesday. Through four starts Roark enters with a pedestrian 15:10 K:BB and poor 1.71 WHIP.

The pick: Blake Snell (2-0, 3.00) gets the nod for the home side and while he's been sharp early, I believe the southpaw is poised for regression. Note as well that Tampa has seen the total soar over the number in seven of its last ten after a one run victory and in which it scored five or more runs in. This number is a tad low.

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER Jays/Rays.