The set-up: Atlanta won Game 1 of its double header with the defending champs yesterday 7-1, but then the Nats responded with 10-9 victory in the second. Considering the massive talent discrepancy between these two starting pitchers, I believe that the correct call is to take the Braves on the run line (-1.5), as I'm expecting a complete lop-sided victory for the home side. The visitors hand the ball to Erick Fedde (1-3, 4.71 ERA), who was shelled for six runs over six innings in a loss to Philly in his last outing. So far Fedde sports a disturbingly poor 10:11 K:BB.

The pick: Max Fried (6-0, 1.60) is putting up Cy Young type numbers and while regression at some point is imminent, I do think he'll have more than enough to outduel his inconsistent coounterpart. Over 45 innings Fried owns a sharp 43:14 K:BB. Fried was 17-6 with a 4.02 ERA last year and he definitely also benefits from the friendly confines factor. Look for Fedde to get the hook early and hammer the Braves on the run-line on Saturday!

The is a 10* RUN-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Braves RUN LINE.