The set-up: I had a play on the "over" in Game 2, but I think that Game 3 will be more of a defensive affair, as I expect the Lakers to really double down defensively along the perimeter to take away Houston's only advantage on offense. LA has the personel to do that. Also expect the Lakers to continue to try and work it down low to Anthony Davis. LA will definitely run half court sets on offense, which tends to lead to a slower paced contest. LA doesn't want to turn this into a "track meet," it wants to dictate.

The pick: Additionally note that the Rockets have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after allowing 116 points or more in a loss in their previous outing. This number is a tad high.

The is a 10* TOTAL BLOWOUT on the UNDER Lakers/Rockets.