The set-up: Miami is now 0-2 after a tough 31-28 setback at home to the Bills. The Dolphins looked good at times in that loss and pretty poor in others. Miami didn't look great in New England either in Week 1, losing 21-11. The Dolphins have the Seahawks at home next weekend, but they'll have to be careful to not look past this potentially dangerous Jaguars team, who I think will actually find a way to get the job done again here. Jacksonville is just 1-1 straight up, but it's so far 2-0 against the spread. The Jags upset the Colts 27-20 at home in Week 1, before then falling 33-30 to Tennessee in Week 2. The Jags allowed four TD passes to Ryan Tannehill, but QB Gardner Minshew continues to be competitive each week. Last week Minshew was 30 of 45 for 339 yards, three TD's and two INT's. And with two straight difficult road games at Cinncinati and Houston respectively, this is a game which the lowly Jaguars would have had circled on their calendar before the season started as a "winnable" one.

The pick: Miami's schedule is a difficult and I think it very well could have already thrown in the towel on the season. After the Seahawks at home next week it then has two on the road at San Francisco and Denver, followed by home games vs. the Chargers and Rams and then another road game at Arizona before then finally catching a break with back-to-back games vs. the Jets. Let's face it...neither of these teams is going to be in the playoffs, but I think that Minshew and the Jaguars are playing better through all three phases right now and despite no fans in the stands, I think they benefit greatly here in playing at home. The Jaguars are also 4-1 against the spread in their last five overall, while Miami is a pitiful 7-15 ATS in its last 22 on the road (and just 2-14 straight up in its last 16 away from friendly confines.)

This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on the Jacksonville Jaguars.