The set-up: I base my picks on many things. I think after starting the year 0-2, Minnesota is clearly the "hungrier" team in this fight. Tennessee looked a lot better last weekend, but I think it'll be tested here.

The pick: One other important factor to keep in mind is this brain-blowing stat: How NFL teams that start 0-2 ATS perform in Week 3:

Last 4 Seasons: 22-7 ATS (75.9%)
Last 10 Seasons: 47-28 ATS (62.7%)

This is an 8* FALSE-FAVORITE on the Minnesota Vikings.