The set-up: I have a wager on the Braves to win the World Series, placed five months before the season started. I like their chances here to bounce back from yesterday's 15-3 loss. Clayton Kershaw has been great in the regular season and during the playoffs, but he's still a pedestrian 11-11 with a 4.57 ERA lifetime in the post-season.

The pick: Bryse Wilson was 1-0 with a 4.02 ERA in the regular season, but he made two starts and gave up one run over eight innings with a 1.13 ERA. Clearly the Braves will move quickly to their deep bullpen if needed here. That's expected. There's a chance Kershaw might not go, in which case LA would likely turn to Dustin May, who was 3-1 with a 2.57 ERA. If Kershaw does go, he's not throwing at 100% effectiveness. If May starts, it's not the most ideal situation as he'll have little time to prepare. Yes, the Dodgers bats have looked great the last two games, but Atlanta has been one of the best so far in making game to game adjustments and I completely expect that here now after yesterday's blowout. The outright is possible, but in the end let's grab the extra 1.5 runs of insurance and still get a plus-money pay-out!

This is an 8* HOME-RUN CLUB on the Braves RUN-LINE.