The set-up: Buffalo will be out to run up the score here in my estimation. This is the first of two games between these heated rivals. The total has dropped quite a bit in this one due to bad weather, but that can in fact work both ways. I'm not reading too much into that as I look for both sides to push the pace from the outset. New England QB Cam Newton is out to redeem himself as well after a few poor performances. The Bills are off a win over the Jets 18-10, kicking five field goals for the victory. These two offenses have been stuck in neutral the last few weeks, but I believe that changes in this pivotal contest.

The pick: Note as well that New England has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after scoring seven or less points in a loss in its previous outing (lost 33-6 to San Fran), while Buffalo has seen the total fly "over" in 14 of its last 21 after being held without an offensive TD in its previous outing. This one has "shootout" written all over it!

This is an 8* O/U PLAY-BOOK on the OVER Patriots/Bills.