The set-up: Drew Brees and the Saints have already beaten the Bucs and I think they'll at the very least, take this Sunday night matchup down to the wire as well. Brees and the Saints coe in off a tough 26-23 OT win over the Bears last weekend. Michael Thomas is expected back in the line-up for Brees, which is big for the Saints' offensive attack, as it then opens up the run game and pass action. The Saints' defense is underrated, allowing only 328.4 YPG.

The pick: Tampa is lucky to be leading the division after last week's narrow 25-24 win over the Giants. The Bucs are filled with talent and potential, but the group is still in unchartered territory together and I think that matters at this time of year. Both teams are among the offensive and defensive leaders, but note that the Bucs are still just 2-7-2 ATS in their last 11 at home. In this important divisional battle, consider grabbing the points.

This is a 1* FREE PLAY on the SAINTS.