The set-up: Denver is going to have a starting quarterback under center this week, but I still think it'll struggle to produce in this difficult road venue. The Broncos are averaging only 12 PPG over their last three (and that was against poor defenses like New Orleans and Las Vegas.) The under is actually 3-1-1 in these teams' last five against each other.

The pick: Denver has also seen the total go 11-3-1 to the "under" in its last 15 divisional contests. This Chiefs defense is underrated this year. There's no need for KC to run up the score if it has a lead, instead, it'll just try to run out the clock and avoid injury.

This is a 1* FREE PLAY on the UNDER Broncos/Chiefs.