The set-up: The Friars have won three straight, most recently holding on for an 80-77 win over Seton Hall. A letdown is about to happen here though in my opinion vs. a Butler side which comes in off a 76-73 loss to Southern Illinois. Providence averages 75.3 PPG in the early going, while allowing 71.3. Nate Watson leads the nightly charge with 23 points and 11 boards on average.

The pick: But I like playing games where I feel I have an advantage from a "situational standpoint," and that's definitely the case in this one. The Bulldogs have lost three straight and they'll be hungry and desperate to reverse their fortunes here. Butler averages 66.3 and concedes 72.8, but note that it's 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses. Providence on the other hand is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten after three or more SU victories. I'm banking on the hungrier home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night.

This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Butler.