The set-up: I had a play on the Flyers in their victory over the Penguins on Opening night. That total flew well over the number, but I expect a bit more of a defensive affair this time around. Pittsburgh jumped out to an early lead right out of the gate, so Philadelphia will be much more prepared I think from the start.

The pick: While Carter Hart and Tristan Jarry allowed a combined nine goals in the firs tgame, we can expect a much better performance from whoever these teams put in net tonight. Situationally this one sets up well for a tighter, lower-scoring game, but note as well that the Pens have seen the total dip "under" the number in nine of their last 14 road games after allowing six or more goals in a three-goals or greater loss in their last outing. For all the reasons listed above, the play is the under.

This is an 8* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Pens/Flyers.