The set-up: The Oilers are in desperation mode now after losing this first game vs. the Leafs 4-3 two nights ago. Edmonton split a pair of games in Toronto two weeks ago, winning the first game 3-1 and I'm expecting a similar final combined score in this second one in Alberta tonight. The Oilers are struggling with consistency on both ends of the ice. Particularly defensively. Look for Edmonton to make adjustments tonight to do everything it can to get into shooting and passing lanes and slow this Leafs' offense down. Toronto's top line is a major concern for every team, but the Leafs also have great goaltending in Frederik Anderson and Jack Campbell.

The pick: I think Edmonton doubles down defensively today to try and block shots after this poor stretch of play on that end of the ice. Note as well that the Oilers have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after allowing four or more goals in a one goal home loss in their previous outing. All signs point to a hard-hitting, but lower-scoring game.

The is a 10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the UNDER Leafs/Oilers.