The set-up: The 12-10 Golden State Warriors will look to build off their impressive 147-116 road win over these very Mavericks here two nights ago. Kelly Oubre Jr. exploded for a career-high 40 points, while Stephen Curry contributed 28. Golden State shot 57 percent from the floor and went 22 of 43 from range. Do I expect Oubre and the Warriors to shoot at such a high percentage in back-to-back games against the same team? I don't at all. Perhaps if this was a different club, but the fact that they're playing the exact same team definitely swings the situational factors to the under for me.

The pick: And for Luka Doncic, Kristaps Porzingis and the Mavericks, what can you say about these guys right now? This definitley is not the same team that made a deep playoff bubble run last year. Luka doesn't look like a league MVP at all this season, as team's have made adjustments to counter this big European's dynamic play. I think Dallas doubles down on the defensive end tonight, especially on the perimeter though as it tries desperately to get back into the winners circle. Finally I'll point out that Dallas has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after allowing 145 or more points in a SU/ATS home loss in its previous outing. This total is indeed a tad high in my opinion.

This is a 10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the UNDER Warriors/Mavericks.