The set-up: The Lightning smashed the Panthers 6-1 two nights ago, but I expect a more competitive and ultimately lower-scoring contest in the end here. These two teams both have excellent goaltending and on most nights, their defense is among the best in the league as well. Florida though has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent in which it allowed five or more goals in.

The pick: Florida is just 2-10 the last 12 in this series. The Panthers will be desperate here and I think that'll come in the form of doubling down on the defensive end as they look to get Tampa "off its game." A great situational call on the "under" in my opinion.

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Panthers/Bolts.