The set-up: I had a free play on the Penguins on the puckline in their 6-3 win over Washington here two nights ago (paid +180), and while that game obviously flew well "over" the number, I expect this second contest to be more of a defensive affair. It's all hands on deck now for the Capitals, who have lost four straight coming into this one. Washington can score, but it needs to double down immediately on the defensive end if it has any hopes of breaking the slide.

The pick: The Pens are on a two game win streak, but note that they've seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 home games after scoring six or more goals in a three goals or greater victory in their last outing. I expect a hard-fought, but ultimately lower-scoring affair here on Tuesday night.

This is a 10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the UNDER Capitals/Penguins.