The set-up: Both teams have played to several "overs" in a row, but I believe that today's contest will sneak "under" once the final horn sounds. Boston's been decent defensively, allowing 109.4, but the Pels have struggled on that end, allowing 115.1. After back-to-back losses though, we can expect New Orleans to double down on the defensive end here today. Boston broke a lengthy slide with a win over the Hawks at home, and it'll be out to control the tempo here as well. Situationally I think this one definitely sets up nicely for a lower-scoring "under."

The pick: But also note that Boston has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 road games following a SU/ATS home victory, while New Orleans has seen the total dip "under" in 14 of its last 21 home games after playing to the "over" in five or more straight games. This number is a tad high, the play is the under.

This is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the UNDER Celtics/Pelicans.