The set-up: The WIzards are one of the worst defensive teams in the league, but I still think this number is much too high. Milwaukee has won eight of its last nine. The Bucks average 119.4 PPG, while allowing 112.4. Washington on the other hand has lost five of its last six. It averages 114.4 PPG, while allowing 119.7.

The pick: Washington's losing, but it's been competitive. It hung with the Bucks just a few days ago, but then fell apart down the stretch. The Wizards though have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 home games in trying to revenge a SU loss vs. an opponent in which it allowed 125 or more points in. With a much tougher and more high-profile game coming up next at surging Philadelphia, it's also a look-ahead spot for the visiting side. I expect a slower-paced game here, one which does indeed fall "under" once it's all said and done.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Bucks/Wizards.