The set-up: Normally I like playing against really hot teams, as I try to predict their eventual letdown spot. I also like playing on struggling teams and figuring out when they'll finally break through with a victory. These particular teams are moving in opposite directions right now, and I expect that to continue at least for a while a longer. Boston has lost three of four, most recently a 4-0 setback to the undermanned Rangers. Overall the Bruins have scored two goals or less in six of their last nine games.

The pick: The Penguins have won five in a row, most recently a 3-0 victory over the Sabres. Pittsburgh plays with "double-revenge" here as well after dropping both earlier meetings to Boston. Finally note that the Penguins are a perfect 4-0 in their last four when playing on one days rest, while the Bruins are just 1-4 in their last five on the road.

This is a 1* FREE PLAY on the Penguins.