Diamondbacks (Gallen) vs Rockies (Freeland)

Here are two underachieving teams who have made good recently. Arizona and Colorado face each other in the second game of their series. The D-backs’ recent success hasn’t included any Zac Gallen starts. He is 0-4 in his last 7 starts and is running dangerously close to the ignoble run per inning stat. He has a paltry 3-12 team record and struggles both on the road and vs right handed batters. Starting for Colorado, Freeland (4-6, 4.40) has improved dramatically since the start of the season. He is 3-0 with an ERA of 3.94 in August, very good at home, and has really only had one bad outing since the beginning of July.

Both bullpens have been poor this season, but Colorado’s has shown marked improvement with a collective ERA of 2.94 in their last 7 starts.

Probably the most significant stat regarding this game are the Diamondbacks’ road woes. They are 9-24 on the road, and their recent success has come at home. They are also a startling 9-24 against left handed pitching. The Rockies are surprisingly good at home in Coors Field, and a very good home favorite at 42-21 this year.

I haven’t had much success with the spread lately but this is one game where the extra runs are justified. Take the Rockies -1.5.