The first two games of this series both went Over. Game 1 seemed destined to go Under, but the teams combining for a 70-point fourth quarter changed that. Game 2 saw the Warriors turn in a 44-point quarter.

Denver has averaged only 106.5 points in the two games, so they are not really getting the job done offensively. Nikola Jokic has yet to make a three (0 for 8). This isn’t too surprising as Golden State is one of the top defensive teams, something they do not get enough credit for.

Now the Warriors only average 109.0 points on the road, so expect their scoring to go down tonight. Jordan Poole is enjoying a breakout series as he’s drained 19 of 29 field goal attempts, which includes a sick 10 of 17 from three point range. No longer shooting at home, Poole can’t continue those numbers.

When playing with exactly two days of rest between games, the Warriors are 8-1 Under this season. They are 22-8 Under in that situation since the beginning of the 2019-20 season.

I just think Denver will play better defensively tonight. Golden State is 5-2 Under its last seven trips here.