Even with an abundance of free throw attempts, Game 4 still saw only 199 total points scored. Part of the problem was that the Jazz missed 16 of their 42 attempts from the charity stripe. Playing on the road in Game 5, Utah won’t be getting to the FT line with such regularity tonight. But I do expect them to start sinking more threes.

Games 2 and 3 of this series did make it Over the total with Game 3 being the highest-scoring, finishing with 244 total points. Luka Doncic finally suited up for Dallas in Game 4 and while he scored 30, only one other Mavs player had more than 11 and the team ended up with just 99.

Both teams should increase their scoring tonight. It’s been especially strange to see Utah fail to hit its season average of 113.2 points in three of the four games. They are attempting a lot less three-point tries, but I imagine we’ll see a change there for Game 5.

Utah shot only 30 percent from three in the two games at home, well below their season average. Neither team shot better than 43% overall in Game 4. Again, you’ve got to think we’ll see better shot-making this evening.

The Over has been a winning bet five of the last six times that Dallas has been favored. They are favored tonight (first time in the series). The Mavs have attempted 42 or more threes each of the last three games. That volume coupled with the likelihood of improved long-distance shooting by the Jazz has me on the OVER.