This was expected to be the highest scoring series of the first round with totals in the 230’s. But three of the first five games have stayed Under and oddsmakers have adjusted a bit, posting a total for Game 6 that is 10 points lower than Game 1.

Personally, I’ve made just two wagers in this series. I won both. It was Minnesota (+6.5) winning Game 1 outright for me, then I had the Under in Game 3.

The Timberwolves should probably be the team with the opportunity to close things out tonight. Honestly, you could make the argument that they could have already won the series. Twice they blew double digit leads in the fourth quarter and lost. The second time was Game 5, which ended up being a two-point loss.

Minnesota is better defensively at home, but we are still talking about the two highest scoring teams from the regular season and of the eight first round playoff series, this one is - by far - averaging the highest number of possessions per game.

Expect Memphis to shoot much better from three-point range than they did in Game 5 where they were only 25 percent. They’ve scored 111 or more in all but one of the five games. Minnesota is 18-8 to the Over following a straight up loss.