The Celtics were the only team to pull off a sweep in the first round, making it look easy against the Nets. But the Bucks needed only five games to oust the Bulls. It’s not a surprise to see Boston as the favorite to win this series, they do have the home court advantage after all, but it would be a mistake to write off the NBA Champs.

The teams split four regular season matchups with the home team winning every time. Only one of the meetings has been since Christmas, so I’m not looking into them too much. The Bucks did win the last one though, earlier this month, 127-121.

The Over/Under was a 2-2 split in those four regular season games, but it’s interesting that they averaged 233.3 total points scored. Expect the games in this series to be a lot lower scoring. The Bucks were 5-0 Under in the first round while posting the lowest defensive efficiency rating of any team in the playoffs.

Remember that Milwaukee is without its second leading scorer Khris Middleton. Wesley Matthews has been starting in his place, but it was Grayson Allen stepping up to average 20+ points in the three games without Middleton. Allen made 11 threes in those three games. I don’t see that happening against a Boston team that defended Kevin Durant so well.

On the other side, Jaylen Brown is dealing with a hamstring injury for the Celtics. I look for a low-scoring Game 1. Grab the UNDER.