The Heat went cold from three in the two games at Philadelphia, going 7 of 30 and 7 of 35 in the two games there. That’s 21.5 percent, well below their league-leading average during the regular season. But they also shot 25% from three in Game 1 of this series, which was at home. Maybe you’ve just got to credit the Philly defense.

This series has seen the Under and Over alternate, neither hitting back to back games. The Over hit in Game 4, so that means it’s time to go back to the Under. The 76ers shot much better in the two home games than they did in the first two in Miami. Some of that can be tied to the return of Joel Embiid. But I also don’t think you should expect the Sixers to shoot 54% overall and 48.5% from three again like they did in Game 4.

The Under remains 6-2 in all Miami playoff games. Philadelphia failed to score more than 103 in any of the first three games of this series and we should see good Heat defense tonight. Philly is 6-0 Under off their previous six games scoring 100 or more. If you can believe it, the Sixers haven’t scored 100 points in regulation back to back games since the first two games vs. Toronto.

Miami scored only 79 points when it lost Game 3. They bounced back a bit to score 108 in Game 4, but I don’t see them matching that number tonight. Jimmy Butler has had to carry too much of the scoring load. Play the Under here.