Phillies’ starter Zack Wheeler took his time getting going this season, but is now pitching at an elite level. He has an ERA of 1.35 in May, with 23 strikeouts to 2 walks, and just two home runs-against for the year. He has thrown 7 innings or more in 2 of 3 last starts.

He faces young lefty Tucker Davidson (5.87 ERA), whose only start this year was a five inning shutout, fresh off the bus from triple A, He gave up 5 runs in 2.2 innings of relief in April.

Both teams are just over .500 in their last ten games. The Phillies have the edge in offense, particularly against left-handers. The Braves have the better bullpen but will likely have to dip in earlier.

I’ll take the proven ability of Wheeler and the Phillies’ offense over the unproven talent of Davidson. After that adrenaline-driven first start, a rookie often returns to earth on the 2nd. Take the Phillies to win.